Linked by Eugenia Loli on Sat 30th Sep 2006 00:12 UTC
Talk, Rumors, X Versus Y Microsoft Windows will not suffer irreparable damage on the server side at the hands of the Linux operating system over the next five years, Gartner analyst George Weiss told attendees at the Gartner Open Source Summit. In fact, in terms of worldwide server operating system revenue, Linux would come in below both Windows and Unix by 2011 in spite of its enormous growth, he told attendees in a session entitled "Enterprise Linux: Has it Arrived?"
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RE: the key word is revenue.
by zztaz on Sat 30th Sep 2006 07:24 UTC in reply to "the key word is revenue."
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More exactly, sales revenue. Which is not the important number.

Most software is not developed to sell to other people. It's developed for internal use, or embedded within some other product. As impressive as Microsoft's sales numbers are, the market they dominate is actually one of the smallest parts of the overall software economy.

And that's just the acquisition cost, when we all know that the support cost is usually higher over the full lifecycle.

The revenue number that is important is the revenue generated from the use of software, not the sales of software. The focus needs to be on users, not providers. All software is paid for by the users, whether they built, bought, or traded for it. Looking at only sales numbers ignores the larger build or buy question. It ignores support. It ignores TCO.

George Weiss is looking for his car keys under the street lamp because the light is better there. That's not where he lost them. Sales numbers are easy to find, usage numbers are not. Finding out what software is being used requires actual research, unfamiliar territory for Gartner.

If companies can make more money using Linux than using Windows, that's what counts. They will pay for Linux, but in ways that are difficult for Gartner to track. Sales revenue does not tell the complete story of Apache, or Java, or sendmail. The list goes on and on.

By sales revenues, Internet Explorer and Firefox are no threat to Opera. By sales revenues, web designers should ignore IE, which has effectively zero sales revenue.

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