Linked by Eugenia Loli on Sat 9th Dec 2006 23:03 UTC
Ubuntu, Kubuntu, Xubuntu According to Google Trends, but also according to Distrowatch, our own statistics here at OSNews and overall sense of the industry during 2006, Ubuntu has a big leap in mind share ahead of its competition (please note that we don't dare to say "market share", although we are pretty confident that it's the most used Linux desktop out there today). The second Fedora has a very small edge ahead of SuSe (while in US is a clear second), while Debian is following fourth. Mandrake+Mandriva (add both names on Google Trends and then sum the results) is clearly way below the previous four distros, but a clear 5th nonetheless. Last year Ubuntu was only a bit ahead of the other distros worldwide, but 2006 seems to have skyrocketed the distribution in the people's minds and computers.
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That's why I wrote that "OpenSUSE has been catching up with Ubuntu for some time now." If you change the data span you get the following results:

Last 12 months -- Ubuntu 2646, OpenSUSE 1972
Last 6 months -- Ubuntu 2469, OpenSUSE 2007
Last 3 months -- Ubuntu 2550, OpenSUSE 2360
Last 30 days -- Ubuntu 2293, OpenSUSE 2292
Last 7 days -- Ubuntu 2467, OpenSUSE 3375

Do you notice any trend here?

As the previous poster said, of course it looks like a trend - 10.2 was just released a few days ago and is thus on the front page of distrowatch. This causes it to get hundreds more hits per day at present than it typically does (exactly the same thing happens when there is a new release of any distro). These extra hits are incorporated into all the different time spans that distrowatch records, but obviously they will have the biggest effect on the the shorter time spans.

Additionally, over the last few weeks development releases have been appearing on the front page, which also sends the hit count up on the shorter time spans.

Thus, if anything, it's surprising that SUSE's figures are actually lower over the last month than the last 3 months. This is presumably fallout from the Novell-MS deal.

So, I agree with the title of your original post.

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