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Member since:
2005-07-09
Three reasons come to mind.
1) Most people are generally unable to accept "sink cost". Gamblers who lose their house, keep thinking that they can make it all back, if they keep increasing the stakes. Addicts aren't the only one affected. In the dot-com bust, many companies went bankrupt and many companies fell from highs that any sane person would see would not be regained within the next 20 years, assuming the companies survive that long. It made sense long before the bust was in full swing. Still people refused to accept it. I know some people in Nortel who, when it went down to 40 dollars, honestly thought it was a bargain and made a mortgage on their stocks so they could become rich. Vista is a "sink cost", but Microsoft keeps thinking that it'll recover once XP is out of the picture. They're counting on their monopoly and people's complacency to make Vista what people expect.
2) Vista was a major rewrite that included some new technologies. If they kill Vista, those technologies have to be ported to XP or they have to take a lot of flack for abandoning their technical partners. If they do that, they may never recover.
3) If Microsoft had a bit of vision and could swallow their pride, they could find a way out by going the Apple route...dump both XP and Vista and go for emulation -- none of this virtualization stuff that adds yet more bulk with little benefit -- virtualization should be the focus of the new cleaned up API. All future work is on a lean, cleaned up API over a stable kernel. They could go with a F/OSS kernel, but knowing Microsoft, buying QNX might be a better bet and would allow them to break into markets where they have no credibility.
So hope and fear and lack of imagination/humility keep Vista alive. In essense, Vista for Microsoft is like riding a mechanical bull. You know you're going to fall off, and you're too proud to ask to turn it off, so you hang on for dear life, hoping against hope for a blackout so you don't have to fall.