Linked by Jordan Spencer Cunningham on Tue 8th Sep 2009 21:21 UTC, submitted by wakeupneo
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Member since:
2009-09-09
"First they ignore you..."
"Then they laugh at you..."
So we're through the first 2 stages and have now reached the
"Then they fight you..."
phase.
Will take a while - but only 1 phase left after that. ;-)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZtdnZNYN0MM
("Truth happens" by Red Hat)
MS is loosing market share - both to MacOS and Linux. Slowly for now - but gradually.
Vista was a flop and a marketing debacle.
W7 will recover some of that - but it will only help delay the trend away from MS Windows.
Whole government departments move away from windows for cost, security and political reasons.
Cloud computing is bad for Windows.
VMs on servers is bad for Windows.
On Netbooks MS could only compete by giving away an obsolete version for almost free. They were forced to do so because they couldn't risk that millions of regular users could buy pre-installed Linux Machines (removing most of the typical problems that new users have with Linux) and find out that running FF on Linux is basically the same click-click as on windows.
The fight will be interesting, but in the long run MS can't win.
Prediction: Windows will eventually go open source (in ca a decade I guess) and be given away so MS can still sell services and add-on products (eventually following IBMs lead).
Yeah - sounds radical now - but the software market has changed many times (and it wasn't always dominated by MS). IMHO MS hardly has a fighting chance. It's just happening so gradually that people don't quite realize it. And most people underestimate the speed at which Linux improves while Windows glacially crawls to its doom.