Linked by Howard Fosdick on Mon 13th Dec 2010 23:11 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless It's hard to predict the future because we humans prefer to think in terms of familiar paradigms. Even the most brilliant of our species are subject to this flaw. Now, Microsoft faces its turn. The owner of the operating system that likely runs your personal computer, the company that achieved monopoly with Windows and ducked the Department of Justice's scythe to keep it, faces a midlife crisis as the world goes gaga over portable consumer devices. This is the story of what's happening to Microsoft in the handheld operating system markets -- and how it parallels the earlier, similar journeys of IBM Corporation and Digital Equipment Corporation. Can Microsoft achieve dominance on mobile devices?
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The reason I say this is that nearly the exact thing was predicted regarding Microsoft and the Internet around 1994-1995.

This prompted the famous, 1995, "Internet Tidal Wave Memorandum," from Bill Gates to MS Executives. He outlined (basically) that MS had totally missed the boat when it came to the importance of the Internet and its bearing on the future of Microsoft itself.

Here's a link to a photocopy of the memo:

Gates directed a massive shift of resources in order to play catch-up. And I believe they caught up quite quickly.

As memory serves, much of the same was being stated regarding the Internet as is being currently said regarding MS and mobile devices.

I wouldn't be shocked at all to learn the Microsoft is quickly [and quietly] attempting to reestablish itself as a future dominant player.

While many, including myself, loathe and question their ethics & practices, Microsoft is an incredibly successful corporation and has the assets and money to pull itself out of any slump or missed opportunity.

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