Linked by Howard Fosdick on Mon 13th Dec 2010 23:11 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless It's hard to predict the future because we humans prefer to think in terms of familiar paradigms. Even the most brilliant of our species are subject to this flaw. Now, Microsoft faces its turn. The owner of the operating system that likely runs your personal computer, the company that achieved monopoly with Windows and ducked the Department of Justice's scythe to keep it, faces a midlife crisis as the world goes gaga over portable consumer devices. This is the story of what's happening to Microsoft in the handheld operating system markets -- and how it parallels the earlier, similar journeys of IBM Corporation and Digital Equipment Corporation. Can Microsoft achieve dominance on mobile devices?
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by benali72 on Tue 14th Dec 2010 19:38 UTC
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Impressive article. I like the way it snatches overall trends out of the confusion of statistics out there. I agree with its conclusions overall, but not with all its specifics. For example I question the absolute projection of sales trends when we know how quickly a technological curve ball can change everything. I also think market comparisons between the different device types it mentions are VERY difficult to make with any authority. Nonetheless I appreciate the article and would like to read more like this.

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