Linked by Howard Fosdick on Mon 13th Dec 2010 23:11 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless It's hard to predict the future because we humans prefer to think in terms of familiar paradigms. Even the most brilliant of our species are subject to this flaw. Now, Microsoft faces its turn. The owner of the operating system that likely runs your personal computer, the company that achieved monopoly with Windows and ducked the Department of Justice's scythe to keep it, faces a midlife crisis as the world goes gaga over portable consumer devices. This is the story of what's happening to Microsoft in the handheld operating system markets -- and how it parallels the earlier, similar journeys of IBM Corporation and Digital Equipment Corporation. Can Microsoft achieve dominance on mobile devices?
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Microsoft missed the boat...
by TemporalBeing on Tue 14th Dec 2010 21:56 UTC
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...and will sink with the island.

Microsoft isn't really capable of doing a good phone or supporting the kind of devices that the market is moving to. Sales of WinPhone7 are dismal despite $500 million in marketing - so not even those susceptible to marketing are buying it. And this is already Microsoft's third or fourth attempt to gain in the mobile market over the last decade - a market that is very quickly leaving them behind.

Now, I've got a Google Nexus One (which you can actually still buy as a development phone as a registered Android Developer - $25 charge for registration). The only reason it has not fully replaced my laptop (running Gentoo Linux nonetheless) is because I can't hook a larger monitor and keyboard to it and the disk space (512 MB flash) is abysmal. Now they fixed the disk space issue with the Nexus S (16 GB flash); but there's still no way to add a monitor/keyboard.

Yes - having a little mobile phone that I could drop in a small dock and add a monitor and keyboard would be perfect - or even be able to set it down on a surface and roll out a keyboard while it displays the screen in the air - something bigger that is easier to use for document editing and coding.

Yes, we're almost there - the technology has been around for a while (re: heliodisplay and various forms of holographics) but it still has a while to mature to the point where it can be packed into something that small.

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