Linked by Matthew Johnson on Tue 31st Jan 2012 22:24 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless In its analysis of last year's smartphone market in the U.S., NPD found that market share for Apple's iOS went up following the release of the iPhone 4S, to 43 percent of all smartphone sales in October and November from 26 percent in the third quarter. Android, meanwhile, retained its lead, but lost market share towards the end of the year, dropping in October and November to 47 percent from 60 percent in the previous quarter. These are some dramatic shifts in market share but what do they really mean to you and me?
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1 Billion Android devices 5-10 years
by fran on Wed 1st Feb 2012 09:16 UTC
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Android device sales will rocket in the next two to three years. With components becoming so cheap smartphones will replace feature phones in it's entirety.
There is 4.6 billion mobile phone users in 2010. Most of them replace their phone 2-4 years. Most of these people does fall into Apple's market demographic.
Its not unrealistic that the Android phone market will be 4.6/3=1.5 Billion in say 5-10 years. Let's be conservative and truncate that to 1 Billion and not take into account the growth of cell phone subscribers over 2010 in the next few years also.

The argument is really mute. iOS will be a big niche market player in a few years if they don't lower their prices.

Edited 2012-02-01 09:20 UTC

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