Linked by Thom Holwerda on Wed 18th Apr 2012 13:54 UTC
Windows If you ever needed any proof it's anything but roses ans sunshine over at Microsoft's Windows Phone division, it's this. The next version of Windows Phone, WP8, will run on the NT kernel, which marks a pretty substantial departure from the current release. This raises the question: will current handsets be upgradeable to WP8? First, Microsoft indicated no. Then they said yes (interview retracted). And now, they're saying no again.
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RE: Comment by TusharG
by skandalfo on Wed 18th Apr 2012 16:04 UTC in reply to "Comment by TusharG"
skandalfo
Member since:
2010-04-07

This is the Kin story repeating:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microsoft_Kin

Developers don't want to support a "third ecosystem" right now. Market share numbers mean you can cover almost the whole public by supporting just iOS and Android. This, and the fact that Microsoft has demonstrated once and again what a marvelous business partner they are.

Carriers and handset makers just take the marketing dollars/patent abuse and do whatever minimum effort they need to do in order to tick the agreement boxes.

The same way that Linux on the desktop (as an alternative to Windows) has no big numbers, Windows Phone will fail to capture a significant share of the market. There are too many network effects at work in the current ecosystem.

Apple came first with a nice, new and working product.

Android got permission to live just because Apple's offer was so one-size-fits-all and people liked to have different options... a choice on the price/quality trade-off, and the possibility of using their hardware the way they liked.

Microsoft's offer is just a me-too on the locked side of the spectrum, with just a different GUI and a marginally wider range of terminals. And it's late to the game. Windows Phone is still several iterations behind Android and iOS, and thus if any platform is a Beta at all, it's Windows Phone.

You don't need to resort to conspiracy theories about sales channels boycotts or Skype-related carrier boycotts. It's just potential buyers not seeing the point of buying Windows Phone.

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