Linked by Thom Holwerda on Thu 5th Jul 2012 22:27 UTC, submitted by Piet Simons
In the News Interesting charts by Horace Dediu: "As a result the Mac began to whittle down the advantage Windows had. The ratio of Windows to Mac units shipped fell to below 20, a level that was last reached before Windows 95 launched. It's as if the Mac reversed the Windows advantage. This was an amazing turnaround for the Mac. But the story does not end there." Too bad Dediu didn't include Android devices in his charts. The picture would change dramatically, and would downplay the important of either Windows or Mac/iOS. We're in a three-horse race - not the two-horse race Dediu paints.
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zima
Member since:
2005-07-06

I can imagine how someone will try using a complex IDE, graphical or publishing / video / audio editors, or some 3D modeling software on a tablet. It's simply doesn't let such kind of usage productively. So desktops aren't going anywhere. Tablets might become more widespread, but desktops are here to stay.

I refuse to believe you have such weak imagination... it looks more as if you're purposefully trying to not see how absolutely awesome "a complex [...] graphical or publishing / video / audio editors, or some 3D modeling software" can be on a touchscreen.
Preferably a largish touchscreen, for most of them, sure - but that's still closer to a tablet than to a traditional desktop.
And/or, possibly similarly great, synthesis of the two - where ~tablet acts as the primary input device, most of the interactive elements on it (while large monitor - all wirelessly connected perhaps - offers mostly a full-screen preview of edited video or newspaper layout, for example; still very different from present desktops, with very different UI model)

That leaves IDE...

And it's good to remember, that making and debugging programs for those very tablets developers will prefer using comfortable widescreen monitors and ergonomic keyboards. Therefore any universal OS needs to address regular desktop use case.

...which is done by minuscule number of people. So don't be surprised if "any universal OS" won't be pandering to them too much. Maybe that means a sort of return of one category of old-style workstations / terminals. Maybe they'll be happy with hooking up a keyboard to the "more touch" OS. Maybe touchscreen for ~input + large display for ~output will often suffice (with keyboard displayed on the touchscreen - you might shrug it off, but good development is not about typing a lot quickly). We'll see, the sky won't fall either way (or, possibly, if we'll do all of those three, and maybe some other variants)

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