Linked by Thom Holwerda on Tue 18th Dec 2012 00:03 UTC
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Member since:
2005-07-06
I was replying to your poor grasp of statistics.
WP7 and WP8 marketshare is to be viewed as just Windows Phone. Or do you count iOS5 marketshare as just iOS5?
There's no upgrade path from WP7 to WP8; users have to literally throw away their WP7 device and get a new WP8 device, hence I consider them different things and count them separately. You're free to disagree.
However, you can look at Windows Phone 7 sales and see a clear acceleration.
There's also a ramp up in Marketplace submissions (up 40%) and the pace at which the Market has grown has increased (and it was already the fastest growing Ecosystem before Windows 8 launched).
Maybe I should be clearer: please stop using relative statistics as any meaningful indicator of the absolute success of Windows Phone in the market place. A 40% increase in app submissions isn't very interesting. A 200% or 300% increase might be interesting, as that would indicate rapid growth: 40% is just "growth" and even the WebOS app market managed to grow.
Again, my complaint is that you're using relative growth as an indicator. Of course Windows Phone handsets are in "many more hands" than a year ago: WP7 hadn't even been out all that long at the beginning of last year! That's called "growth", and while it's nice, it's not spectacular or interesting growth.
In the same time frame that Windows Phone has reached "many more hands", iOS and Android have shipped hundreds of millions of new devices. There is no evidence at all that Windows Phone has had even the slightest impact on the Android or iOS markets, and without that impact it's always going to be an also-ran, lumped under "Other" at the bottom of the chart.