Linked by Thom Holwerda on Fri 4th Jan 2013 21:28 UTC
Talk, Rumors, X Versus Y Ralf Rottmann is CTO and co-founder of the largest mobile application developer in Germany, Grandcentrix. He has more Apple devices than an Apple Store and thinks he's a fanboy - yet, he's switched to the Nexus 4 completely, stating that "the latest version of Android outshines the latest version of iOS in almost every single aspect". This line in particular rings true for me as a Windows Phone 8 and Android user: "whenever I grab my iPhone for testing purposes, iOS feels pretty old, outdated and less user friendly". This will most likely be dismissed as a troll by some, but it has to be said: iOS has become stale, bordering on being outdated, and lacks several crucial pieces of functionality, neatly detailed in Rottman's article. Apple has a lot of catching up to do, or it will be Mac OS all over again.
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sandbox = solitary confinement
by tomz on Fri 4th Jan 2013 23:29 UTC
tomz
Member since:
2010-05-06

Is it a walled garden or prison farm? Can you get out and take your stuff with you? Razor wire and guard towers?

You can only do so much with an OS. BSD and Linux are mature, and the changes are normally directed at new hardware or incremental change to handle the expanded sizes (now that hard-drives are terabytes instead of megabytes).

There can be no synergy with iOS because of the sandboxing. Even if I wrote the best viewer program for some type of media, my app couldn't be used without some complex dance of saving, moving, or whatever to get the document from wherever it was originally to where my app can see it. This would be negated if iOS 7 would have some kind of a media share-exchange-access app, but that is very hard to do without completely breaking the sandboxing.

100 curated (though not necessarily good, merely non-T&C-violating) apps that are stranded, solitary, isolated are going to be beat by 40 that are a toolbox, swiss-army-knife, and all can cooperate.

Apple wants to make money even on things like bluetooth GPS units (a jailbroken ipod/pad can use an external GPS). There are cheap OBD2 interfaces for your car. There are a lot of other possibilities. None of which Apple will allow.

It worked as long as Apple was able to leapfrog the competition. They do this easily with new categories - like the iPad. But after 2 or more years the competition has adapted and is fighting.

Eric Raymond noted Androids OODA (military term, Orient, observe, decide, act) for Android was about 3 months, Apple about a year. Samsung, HTC, LG, Motorola and the rest react in a few months to consumer demand - note, not to Apple's latest. Consumers want larger screens. Or QWERTY slide-out keyboards. Replaceable or extended battery. There are stylus big-screen phones! Phablets. While Apple has the iPhone 5. Nice, but it is just one product, not a family.

Consider a normal distribution statistical curve. originally Apple owned most of the area. It is very good at hitting the center, but the curve is shifting. Given technology making it possible to do inexpensively, more people want something at one of the thinner tails. So the sweet-spot shrinks. The center stays the same, but the iPhone5 or iOS6 ceases to be any kind of innovation but merely a wide circle around the statistical mean for the category. As the overall market expands, their one or two phones keeps the circle, but while the lake turns into an ocean, the sweet-spot circle stays the same size.

Apple gained inordinate profits because they completely disrupted the market each time with a product that for a year or more they would have a virtual monopoly because there was nothing else like it. They aren't doing so now. Each disruption lasts for a long time but isn't permanent. There was the iPod. Then the iPhone. Then the iPad. Then? Nothing. Where is the next disruption? The iPad mini seems like they are now reacting. The iPhone5 has a bigger screen and is smaller and lighter, but what is really unique? Something that any one of the Android phones won't do within a year of the iP5s intro?

Apple appears to be attempting to go the Microsoft route and give users of competing ecosystems "a jarring experience". This will fail - it is too late, and when you do that when someone leaves they don't come back. Litigation is not innovation.

Apple either has to continue to disrupt with a series of completely new innovations, or they have to open up. I don't see the former, and the latter seems to be against their culture.

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