Linked by Thom Holwerda on Mon 15th Apr 2013 22:44 UTC
OSNews, Generic OSes Almost exactly three years ago, I wrote about why OSNews was no longer OSNews: the alternative operating system scene had died, and OSNews, too, had to go with the times and move towards reporting on a new wave of operating systems - mobile, and all the repercussions that the explosion of smartphones and tablets have caused. Still, I was wondering something today: why aren't we seeing alternative operating systems on mobile?
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RE: Some remarks
by ricegf on Tue 16th Apr 2013 10:25 UTC in reply to "Some remarks"
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-Ubuntu, Sailfish, FirefoxOS will probably fail

I think one or two of them will succeed, for small values of "succeed".

I doubt FirefoxOS will grow to more than a few percent of the western markets (at best), but it may grow to a sizable fraction of emerging markets by being simple for first-timers, buoyed by the well-known Firefox brand, and devices running it are at the starting gate today. It's the obvious low-end play.

Ubuntu has an opening to be the third player at the high end simply because it uses the Android kernel as-is without the Google infrastructure ("Anything but Android" from Samsung and the dwarves is their best shot). It helps to have the long-term independent financial backing of an entrepreneur with solid industry connections, of course, and the "one device, many markets" strategy is kinda cool, too.

Why not WP, iOS, BB, Sailfish, webOS, or an upstart? The Windows desktop monoculture nightmare is too fresh and Microsoft too dysfunctional to grow beyond a few percent, I think, and iOS and BB are successful but forever single-vendor. I like both Sailfish and webOS, but I suspect their time has passed and I don't see a compelling reason for a vendor to choose one of them over FirefoxOS and Ubuntu. And an upstart would probably need to also invent a new device sub-category, as Apple did with non-stylus slab phones, to get a toe hold.

Just my opinions. Of course, I fully expected MeeGo to challenge Android back in the day. *shrugs*

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