Linked by Thom Holwerda on Wed 7th Aug 2013 21:16 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless I wrote this almost exactly three years ago, to much debate:

Sure, Apple will most likely still make far more money per sold iPhone device than competitors will per Android phone, but the trend is clear: as much as I love my iPhone, it will be relegated to a ~10% market share figure within a few quarters.

It took a little longer than "a few quarters", but here we are. Android has revolutionised the smartphone market. I'm not particularly happy about that (both Android and Samsung are far too dominant, which is bad for the market and thus for consumers), but there it is.

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And ++Elop at Nokia
by tomz on Wed 7th Aug 2013 23:56 UTC
tomz
Member since:
2010-05-06

Symbian was dated but hardly dead, especially with the dumb to smart transition where better than dumb would work. And they always had incredible hardware.

Like the N9 and N950. They were so good they could have been the target of the transition and the 3rd ecosystem. There was a full opensource foundation.

Instead, we have the Lumia. (Maybe I should say "Lamia" as in "Drag you to Hell"). Jolla may end up outselling WPx.

HP Bought and killed Palm. WebOS had a few hiccups but was also a competitor. Buy and Die?

That leaves Blackberry, who is financially in good shape, has the battery efficient QNX, can run Android apps but also native API, is far more secure (the crypto chain). It may be a dark horse, but I don't think they will drop the apple like hardware+software.

Note what most don't have is the "iPod Touch" or "Galaxy Player" device - the device minus phone for about half the cost that works with wifi, but allows development. (I need to pull my n810 WiMax out again...).

The history of the auto makers might be instructive. Back when Detroit was the high-tech capital of the USA, Ford was "any color as long as its black", who got their lunch eaten by GM "Any color you want".

Then in the late '60s the unreliable gas guzzlers all of a sudden found competition with the Japanese when Oil went to $100/bbl (in 1973 dollars!).

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