Linked by John O'Sullivan on Fri 17th Oct 2003 17:48 UTC
"640K ought to be enough for anybody." Bill Gates, 1981. "64 bit is coming to desktops,there is no doubt about that, But apart from Photoshop, I can't think of desktop applications where you would need more than 4 gigabytes of physical memory, which is what you have to have in order to benefit from this technology." It seems to me that by the time it ships, Longhorn will need 4 gigs of RAM.
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"those users that HATE change". That's most users. Not most users who post here, or have blogs or are our techie friends. Those are 'some users'. Most users are either corporate desktops (which change only when there is a compelling reason so to do), or individual home users, who tend to be very technologically conservative, and have limited budgets for computers.
And in reply to debman: my point about the 98 and ME transitions was to illustrate how MS perceive that the market has changed since they had a need to sell those minor technology updates (mainly aggregating previously released components into the OS) as 'major OS releases'. We're living in different times: new PC sales slowed and are still slow, the market is heavily saturated, there is less emphasis on technology for technologies sake, the average person, and the average business are the end users, *not* the technology early-adopters. Another 3 year span before Longhorn will pass in a blink of an eye.
And there's another point to make here, too. Corporate IT infrastructure runs in 7 or 8 year cycles. The last major spend was in 1999-2001 (with Y2k as the driver), so 2006-2008 is going to be a crucial time for the industry. A new OS appearing now would have tough time.