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> Too many distributions is bad if they are only minor variants of existing ones and doesn't provide true value.
Too bad for whom? For the people whose needs exactly this special distribution fits the best?
> 1. Users - who now have to make sure they everytime get a correct version of the application.
Users should stick with the applications their distributor offers. You arent able to install mac binaries on windows, so why should you be able to do that between different, competing distributions?
> I don't want to go to the pain of reinstalling every single damn application on my box and then making all its settings.
You mostly dont have to, dont lie so blatantly.
> 2. People want software to work. Period. Software should *just* work. And to be true, it 99% of the time works fine on windows. In linux unless u get it right, it will never work.
This is pure FUD. You have either never used a modern linux distribution in your entire life, or have been simply unbelieveably stupid to mark a desired package in either Yast or Synaptic and click "Install".
> 3. Too many incompatible distro means programmers are screwed because they have now much more burden on them. This tends to turns programmers off the platform. Reason, programmers likes to focus more on creative work rather than doing shitty work like maintaining same code for 10 different distros.
This is again, pure FUD. Name a single app which doesnt work across distros.
> Too much choice is a slippery slope and IMHO if Linux keeps going this path, it will not be able to come back with a sustained growth.
"Linux", as you call it, is not a software company, Linux is just a operating system kernel. What you are speaking of are single Distributors. There are already many of them which limit app choice, and make sane defaults for average users. So with having _several_ companies, packaging and offering Free Software _exactly_ how you think is right, where is your problem???
Do you have a problem with "someone else" doing "something else" and packaging Free Software as they see fit? Its free software man! Its the _pure essence_ of it, to permit anyone modifying and distributing it as they see fit!