Linked by Thom Holwerda on Fri 12th Feb 2010 22:55 UTC
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Member since:
2007-08-22
You may be amused, but it is your lack of understanding of the markets. Sure they may seem stable, but if anything destabilizes it - the whole boatload sinks.
The "Office" and "Server and Tools" divisions require the stability of the "Windows" division. If they lost the Windows division, the other two would be equally devastated. This could be mitigated if Microsoft ported those things (e.g. Office) to other platforms (besides Mac, in the case of Office); but Microsoft won't do that. Their arrogance will be their downfall.
Those that see Microsoft failing in the future also see a coming significant decline in the use of Windows and Office - the mainstays of Microsoft.
ODF right now is eating Microsoft's lunch in the Format-war. Sure, it's not out in the open any more, but Microsoft is not winning any national standards with OOXML - everyone is turning to ODF. That means, their Office empire is threatened aside from its Windows foundation. Give people the opportunity to use a difference office suite (IBM Lotus Symphony, OpenOffice, KOffice, etc.) and they'll eventually move from Windows too if their other software allowed them.
It's just a matter of time. Microsoft will not be dominant forever. Their days are numbered. Who replaces them is a different matter, but it will likely be ODF-based for the file format, and Linux-based for the OS.