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Desktop Linux is ready for adoption. The masses are not ready to adopt desktop Linux
On servers and mobile phones Linux has already been adopted. Edited 2010-07-29 21:16 UTC
As someone whose used/tried various versions for well over a decade, I love it as the basis for my Palm Pre but it's sadly disappointing as a desktop. It always seems just a little behind.
I think it will continue to be successful in niche/specific areas but will never grow on the desktop until several factors are overcome, including ease of upgrading individual apps.