Linked by Thom Holwerda on Tue 14th Sep 2010 22:42 UTC
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RE[3]: I hope Ubuntu doesn't change its model
by jbauer on Fri 17th Sep 2010 10:33
in reply to "RE[2]: I hope Ubuntu doesn't change its model"
There are more people using Linux desktop now than 6 years ago. Fact.
Maybe. Is that due to Ubuntu? How can you tell? It could be argued that people have been slowly but increasingly using desktop Linux since 1991, and Ubuntu has "only" existed for 6 years.
Percentage-wise market penetration didn't change much but that simply due to the fact our competitors are doing better job than before.
So in six years you can't tell the market has changed. Not what anyone in their right mind would call success for Ubuntu. And did people expect Windows-land to be stuck with XP forever? Switching to Linux is getting harder to justify, not easier. You see, Windows releases actually improve the platform, instead of recompiling stuff every 6 months so they can keep apps reasonably fresh.
Ask yourself how would Linux desktop market look like without Ubuntu. You will probably come up with something like this:
- paid distributions, focusing on server and enterprise markets
- free but constantly changing development versions of these distributions
- Debian - free but perpetually under resourced project
- minor players like Mandriva - doing the job but fragmenting the market to the limits.
People that are using Ubuntu now to push Linux previously promoted Mandriva as the "Linux for human beings". Now we have Ubuntu, which is little more than Debian on a 6-month cycle. Hardly a thrilling proposition for the overall market. Ubuntu brings nothing new to the table, apart from being completely free as in beer, as long as Shuttleworth doesn't mind draining his personal resources.
And convince me there would be more Linux users in such scenario than there are now.
I'd say there'd be about the same, as market penetration figures prove.
Edited 2010-09-17 10:41 UTC




Member since:
2009-06-30
There are more people using Linux desktop now than 6 years ago. Fact.
Percentage-wise market penetration didn't change much but that simply due to the fact our competitors are doing better job than before.
Ask yourself how would Linux desktop market look like without Ubuntu. You will probably come up with something like this:
- paid distributions, focusing on server and enterprise markets
- free but constantly changing development versions of these distributions
- Debian - free but perpetually under resourced project
- minor players like Mandriva - doing the job but fragmenting the market to the limits.
And convince me there would be more Linux users in such scenario than there are now.