Linked by Howard Fosdick on Mon 13th Dec 2010 23:11 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless It's hard to predict the future because we humans prefer to think in terms of familiar paradigms. Even the most brilliant of our species are subject to this flaw. Now, Microsoft faces its turn. The owner of the operating system that likely runs your personal computer, the company that achieved monopoly with Windows and ducked the Department of Justice's scythe to keep it, faces a midlife crisis as the world goes gaga over portable consumer devices. This is the story of what's happening to Microsoft in the handheld operating system markets -- and how it parallels the earlier, similar journeys of IBM Corporation and Digital Equipment Corporation. Can Microsoft achieve dominance on mobile devices?
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Comment by Neolander
by Neolander on Tue 14th Dec 2010 06:54 UTC
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So smartphones should be replacing notebooks and desktops on a large scale, eh ?

And what will be people working or playing complex games with ? Are you telling me that big spreadsheet users will be happy with an iPhone's or iPad's screen ? Or that heavy FPS/RTS players will be happy with an iPhone port ?

Smartphones probably will outsell laptops, but not by replacing them. They will just be the new way phones, DAPs, and portable consoles will work, a new incarnation of the light entertainment market. Putting the sales of smartphones and computers for work and heavy games in the same basket is just like comparing app... Hum... Pears and oranges. If you want to include smartphones in such a comparison, you must add the sales of feature phones, DAPs, and portable consoles before even remotely having a point ;)

Edited 2010-12-14 07:00 UTC

Reply Score: 3

RE: Comment by Neolander
by nt_jerkface on Tue 14th Dec 2010 08:31 in reply to "Comment by Neolander"
nt_jerkface Member since:

Sales of shorts have increased, are pants makers totally fucked? More news at 11.

Reply Parent Score: 4

RE[2]: Comment by Neolander
by Neolander on Tue 14th Dec 2010 08:40 in reply to "RE: Comment by Neolander"
Neolander Member since:

Well, apparently it's not obvious to everyone, looking at the number of people who seem to think that the rise of smartphones and tablets, along with that of better web technologies like HTML5, is marking the end of Microsoft's monopoly on the desktop/laptop market.

It'll take a bit more than that, I think. Currently, Microsoft is crushed in an area where they never became dominant in the first place, the entertainment market. But I don't think that things like Office or Windows are threatened yet.

Edited 2010-12-14 08:46 UTC

Reply Parent Score: 2