Linked by Thom Holwerda on Fri 11th Feb 2011 11:35 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless A lot of people are wondering why Nokia didn't choose to go with Android. How can Nokia differentiate themselves when Android is a lot more open and free than Windows Phone 7? As usual, the key to this is in the details. If you read the announcements carefully, you'll see that Microsoft offered Nokia something Google most likely didn't. Update: What a surprise. Elop just confirmed Nokia has a special deal with Microsoft. Whereas HTC, Samsung, and so on are not allowed to customise WP7 - Nokia is, further confirming my theory.
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RE[2]: Nokia, Goodbye!
by dsmogor on Fri 11th Feb 2011 20:49 UTC in reply to "RE: Nokia, Goodbye!"
dsmogor
Member since:
2005-09-01

Please note that WP7 is not a savior for them this year anyway.
Unless they are finishing their customizations now (which can't be possible given short time from their former strategy announcements and short presence of the system itself) and are ready to put some hardware to market in the coming weeks they will continue to loose marketshare in droves, additionally fueled by developer stir and uncertainty. Obviously can't just release vanilla WP phone quick, that would be branding subsidence.
Next year they'd better come up with full lineup of hw that sweeps all the competition of the floor (incl. IPhone 5) or their prospects in mobile space are quite bleak.

They may have not any meego gear in store for this year but they have nothing with WP7 either.
So the comparison of the outcome should take into account the situation in 12 months, not now:
- MS with ??? market share (struggling) and a somehow more complete WP7 + some nokia customizations that are meant to bring the WOW factor back (after 12 months the platform will have come off headlines)
- Meego with 0 market share, some loyal dev following and potentially nice UI concepts coming from their freedom to shape the platform.

If we assume they weren't competent enough to pull anything (better that WP7) off with meego next year that they, well, deserve their fate, but I simply don't want to accept that.

Edited 2011-02-11 21:02 UTC

Reply Parent Score: 3

RE[3]: Nokia, Goodbye!
by nt_jerkface on Sat 12th Feb 2011 00:36 in reply to "RE[2]: Nokia, Goodbye!"
nt_jerkface Member since:
2009-08-26

The wouldn't be able to create an OS as good as WP7 in 2 years and I'm sure that was factored into their decision. Try WP7 out for yourself, I'm still shocked that it is a MS 1.0 release.

MeeGo has the Qt dev advantage but the .NET community is larger.

But more importantly MeeGo has been in development for years and still isn't ready. Like I said before I'm sure it would take another year after release to get the bugs out and they don't have that kind of time. They also wouldn't have much to offer consumers since to them it would look like Android but without the software library.

They had to partner with another platform and using Android just feeds the beast. Partnering with MS gives them a chance at breaking up the market to prevent a duopoly and makes it easier to enter later with their own OS. It's a better strategy than creating a second rate Android. MS can also be leveraged, Google probably laughed at the idea of helping Nokia.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[4]: Nokia, Goodbye!
by dsmogor on Sun 13th Feb 2011 14:28 in reply to "RE[3]: Nokia, Goodbye!"
dsmogor Member since:
2005-09-01

It's commonly accepted that 2011 was the last year they could have enterd the market with their own platform.

Hoping that it would be easier in say 2013 with market divided between 3 major players, incl. one that their present sales depend on is a pure nonsese.

Now I see their fate as a market dominant force was sealed long time ago (probably at the Iphone premiere). But a from accepting that simple fact to becoming a just an OEM... there's a whole world of options beetween that.

They should have start the harsh restructirization, preparing for inevitable scaling down of revenue a year ago and announce the results now. In the mean time they should have put all the resources on finishing meego early this year at latest.

The layoffs caused by becoming an MS OEM will be much bigger than that in the long term.

If in fact the MS way was the only sensible choice then it shows really dark picture: the biggest technology company in EU is incapable of innovating. For me being an EU citizen that's really sad state of affairs in the post crisis world.
It's Hard to be optimists about EU economy further prospects, after such and announcement.

Edited 2011-02-13 14:33 UTC

Reply Parent Score: 2