Linked by David Adams on Wed 29th Jun 2011 21:57 UTC, submitted by lemur2
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless Google is activating half a million Android devices a day, a big jump in just the last couple months, a sign of growing momentum for the platform. While SymbianOS appears to be hanging on in the mobile arena, trends indicate that the iOS share is slipping slightly, losing ground to Android. The pure marketshare numbers don't tell the whole story, since the entire segment is growing rapidly, so even platforms that are in declining share might be adding new users. But if the upsurge in Android activations continues, Android may overtake iOS in a few months and move into second place behind SymbianOS. Blackberry is in a slow decline, while WP7 does not have enough market share to appear in the statistics.
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RE[2]: Comment by frood
by molnarcs on Thu 30th Jun 2011 15:18 UTC in reply to "RE: Comment by frood"
molnarcs
Member since:
2005-09-10

I agree with your assessment completely. Hence the aggressive litigation tactics of both companies. Both Microsoft and Apple is scared of the Android juggernaut.

The signs were there a year ago. I remember lots of members here and on slashdot predicted Apple's resurgence once their handsets become available on other networks - a very US centric way of thinking. And even there, it didn't work out as expected. In fact, looking at the North American figures after the Verizon launch, you'll see...nothing. No change in the trend. Not even a tiny blip.

Then the theory (still in circulation) is that both will grow in parallel, eating up RIM, Symbian, and what's left of WinMO market share. Wrong again. It is clear now that in many countries, Android is eating Apple's lunch. Another prediction is that Android growth will be based on dirt cheap handsets manufactured in mom and pop shops in China. Wrong again. In fact, in most developing countries iOS is still going strong (it's still a status symbol there) - but we have a very different picture in the two leading economies in Asia. Basically, the Apple market collapsed in Korea. From a 70% market share they dropped down to 3-4% while Android grew to 95%. Japan is following, albeit more slowly. And then there is Taiwan, where again, Android is wiping the floor with Apple on the high end - the only segment of the market Apple cares about.

This is a significant change, because services on handsets become more and more "social" - they depend on numbers. Think Facetime - facetime needs the numbers it still enjoys in the west to be attractive. Think about the ad market - again, it depends on numbers. It's a bit like social networking - the more people are on either platform, the better that platform becomes. Latitude works best if most of your close friends and family are on Android. Etc.

So it's not Android on the low-end with cheap Chinese handsets and Apple on the lucrative high-end as both companies and dozens of analysts predicted. I haven't seen any low-end Android phones around here (I live in Vietnam). It's all symbian here, Apple is still trendy, but now ordinary people (ie not geeks) already heard the name Android. I don't mean to predict Apple's demise just yet, but they feel threatened. And they should be.

Edited 2011-06-30 15:20 UTC

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