Linked by David Adams on Sat 20th Aug 2011 15:38 UTC, submitted by sjvn
Editorial In five years, Red Hat CEO Jim Whitehurst sees the traditional desktop becoming obsolete.
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Comment by motang
by motang on Sat 20th Aug 2011 16:27 UTC
motang
Member since:
2008-03-27

We are already starting to see this happening. Most of us do majority of over day to day things via the browser, on our smart phones, or on our tablets.

I think this XKCD comic nailed it

http://www.xkcd.com/934/

Reply Score: 3

RE: Comment by motang
by reez on Sat 20th Aug 2011 16:53 in reply to "Comment by motang"
reez Member since:
2006-06-28

I think this XKCD comic nailed it

http://www.xkcd.com/934/

Especially the title part.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE: Comment by motang
by 0brad0 on Sat 20th Aug 2011 20:37 in reply to "Comment by motang"
0brad0 Member since:
2007-05-05

We are already starting to see this happening. Most of us do majority of over day to day things via the browser, on our smart phones, or on our tablets.


Too bad that's not even close to reality.

Reply Parent Score: 15

RE: Comment by motang
by AnyOneOrEvery1 on Sun 21st Aug 2011 07:15 in reply to "Comment by motang"
AnyOneOrEvery1 Member since:
2011-02-11

Is the table main stream now? I mean other than the iPads. What about the rest of the world besides US?

I agreed it will one day be obsolete but not within 5 years. 10 years more likely, kind of winding down process.

Reply Parent Score: 1

RE[2]: Comment by motang
by Delgarde on Mon 22nd Aug 2011 00:23 in reply to "RE: Comment by motang"
Delgarde Member since:
2008-08-19

Is the table main stream now? I mean other than the iPads. What about the rest of the world besides US?

I agreed it will one day be obsolete but not within 5 years. 10 years more likely, kind of winding down process.


Agreed. Tablets are certainly making inroads into laptop sales, just as laptops have done to traditional desktop machines - but they're still fairly rare in my part of the world (NZ). They'll probably be more common in five years time, but they're certainly not going to kill the traditional desktop in that time...

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE: Comment by motang
by Liquidator on Sun 21st Aug 2011 07:35 in reply to "Comment by motang"
Liquidator Member since:
2007-03-04

Smartphone is fine for SMS, or emergency access to the Internet. With such a small screen, that's about it ;)
Tablet is fine when you're not at home or in the office, which means not much of your time. And a notebook is more comfortable than a tablet. For the rest of your time, at home or at work, if you wanna do video authoring, music or audio performance, watch broadcast TV, play video games, etc... Nothing beats the good old desktop™. That's my standpoint 8-)

Reply Parent Score: 6

RE[2]: Comment by motang
by unoengborg on Mon 22nd Aug 2011 13:14 in reply to "RE: Comment by motang"
unoengborg Member since:
2005-07-06

It's just that the smartphone of tomorrow will not have a small screen. It will not only have a big screen, it will have a keyboard, a scanner, a printer,... atached to it.

When you get home or to your office you will place your smartphone in front of it and it will attach to all your pheripals just like your laptop, does today.

The smartphone will carry your identity and your local data and be your portal to the cloud. Why should you have a laptop a phone, a tablet all with a mobile internet plan of its own, when you could keep that processing and commuication power in a relatively small portable device.

Well, as a matter of fact, I actually hope that the smartphone of tomorrow will have a small screen, the 4 inch plus screens of today are actually a bit too big for carrying around comfortably, and if it was easy to connect to a 12 inch touch screen you could carry, and your large 27 inch screens on your desktop at home it wouldn't be a problem if the built in screen was just 3.7 inch or something like that.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE: Comment by motang
by bassbeast on Mon 22nd Aug 2011 13:07 in reply to "Comment by motang"
bassbeast Member since:
2007-11-11

Oh Lord not XKCD. I like those guys but seriously they are hipsters NOT prophets, kay?

And sorry but as someone who sells and services PC 6 days a week I gotta call BS. Sure pads sell but ya know what? There is ALWAYS one or more "mission critical" apps where there is NO substitute for the PC. In the home it is PC gaming, transcoding (exploding here after me and a few others started selling Media Tanks), HTPCs (having a single unit control the media for the entire house? nice) and downloading.

In the office there is Quickbooks/Quicken (Still the Gods of small business and rightly so), there is a bazillion VB apps from parts control to employee and customer records, Photoshop, PSP (ever try to do touchups on a pad? not fun) and you still can't beat a PC for call center and customer management.

In short the whole "death of the PC" is the classic blind men feeling an elephant and getting it wrong. Allow old hairy to explain things. Wanna know what's up? its simple for most folks once you hit dual cores PCs became good enough and in a down economy people aren't tossing working gear with the regularity they once did.

The problem is too many OEMs and builders got used to the "toss every 3 years" mantra of the old MHz wars and simply weren't prepared for the day when PCs became "good enough" for their customers needs. i on the other hand saw the writing on the wall back when the CPUs reached 2.2Ghz and talk began on multicores. I knew then that to survive I would not only have to have sales but a solid support business and always be looking for more roles my customers could do with their PCs.

Now I show people how to turn that left over P4 into a nice all in one game center/media center/educational center for the kiddies, how modern triple and quads can take much larger roles like true multitasking such as transcoding while watching a movie or playing a game, and how they can make their lives easier and better by letting the PC do more of the work, everything from how to set up butt simple databases for everything from phone numbers to recipes and how to tie everything together so it "just works" and I'm doing quite well thanks.

To say that pads are gonna kill the PC is as foolish as saying some new moped is gonna kill pickup trucks. Sure the moped is cute and stylish but frankly there is only so much you can do with a moped. In my own family we now have SEVEN count them seven PCs, and that doesn't count laptops which are now up to three or four. with numbers that high it simply makes no sense to buy more, better to find new uses for those we already have. It isn't that PCs are dying it is simply the fact most have plenty of power and folks aren't buying new ones without a reason.

Reply Parent Score: 3