Linked by Thom Holwerda on Mon 22nd Aug 2011 21:19 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless Last week, HP killed its webOS devices unit. Over the weekend, the company slashed the prices on the TouchPad. The result? The TouchPad sold out completely in a matter of hours. This confirms what I've been hearing from friends and family: "I'd love a tablet, but I'm not paying laptop money for one."
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RE[3]: No, it isn't.
by Neolander on Tue 23rd Aug 2011 03:49 UTC in reply to "RE[2]: No, it isn't."
Neolander
Member since:
2010-03-08

Well, I say yes. Early PCs costed thousands of $, modern ones cost a few hundreds. Price has dropped by an order of magnitude before stabilizing. Same drop for cellphones and DAPs. And there's nothing special about tablet hardware (save for being magical, of course). So in 10 or 20 years, $100 or less capacitive tablets that do *much* more than the current ones should be commonplace.

If tablets follow the competitive evolution of other digital hardware, that is. They could also fall under the control of a monopoly and keep their high price as any price drop is turned into profit. Just like everyone enjoys Windows' pricing today.

Edited 2011-08-23 03:59 UTC

Reply Parent Score: 4

RE[4]: No, it isn't.
by unclefester on Tue 23rd Aug 2011 05:46 in reply to "RE[3]: No, it isn't."
unclefester Member since:
2007-01-13

So in 10 or 20 years, $100 or less capacitive tablets that do *much* more than the current ones should be commonplace.


10-20 years? More like 2-3 years.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[5]: No, it isn't.
by Neolander on Tue 23rd Aug 2011 05:50 in reply to "RE[4]: No, it isn't."
Neolander Member since:
2010-03-08

Riskier bet ;) Capacitive phones have been around since more than 3 years and they've not yet dropped in price by an order of magnitude.

Reply Parent Score: 1

RE[4]: No, it isn't.
by kristoph on Tue 23rd Aug 2011 05:54 in reply to "RE[3]: No, it isn't."
kristoph Member since:
2006-01-01

You can get a $100 tablet today. In 10 or 20 years time you'll still be able to buy a $100 tablet, and a $500 tablet which will be better (and more magical).

Anyway this means nothing.

The iPhone is the most popular smart phone in the US ( actually it holds both the #1 and #2 spots, it's that magical ;-) but it only has 20% of the US market after 4 years on the market.

The iPod has been around for 10 years, it still commands 65% of the music player market.

Both are subject to the same economic impact on technology.

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Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[5]: No, it isn't.
by Neolander on Tue 23rd Aug 2011 06:05 in reply to "RE[4]: No, it isn't."
Neolander Member since:
2010-03-08

You can get a $100 tablet today. In 10 or 20 years time you'll still be able to buy a $100 tablet, and a $500 tablet which will be better (and more magical).

There's a huge difference. Today's $100 tablets are piece of junk. Tomorrow's $100 tablets will be good enough. At which point the $500 tablet market will become a niche, just like $4000 laptops are a niche nowadays.

The iPhone is the most popular smart phone in the US ( actually it holds both the #1 and #2 spots, it's that magical ;-) but it only has 20% of the US market after 4 years on the market.

4 year is not maturity, even for computers. Microcomputers have appeared in the late 70s, and that market has only reached the stable equilibrium that we know well in the early 90s. I think we are still up for some surprises in the smartphone world.

The iPod has been around for 10 years, it still commands 65% of the music player market.

Because Apple have been clever and have made cheap iPods too ;)

Both are subject to the same economic impact on technology.

Well, my own interpretation's above. In the end, your guess is as good as mine, I guess, but I'm ready to bet ;)

Edited 2011-08-23 06:06 UTC

Reply Parent Score: 1