Linked by Thom Holwerda on Mon 2nd Jul 2012 22:17 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless Nokia board chairman Risto Siilasmaa went on a Finnish television show, and stated that while he is confident in Windows Phone 8, the company does have a back-up plan if it doesn't work out. Speculation aplenty - what is this backup plan? The answer's pretty easy, if you ask me.
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RE[2]: Yes please
by plague on Tue 3rd Jul 2012 13:00 UTC in reply to "RE: Yes please"
plague
Member since:
2006-05-08

True, but it's very difficult to break into the market with a new OS. Android succeeded in breaking into the iOS monopoly, but no other smartphone OS has even come close to mainstream acceptance. Sure Bada has some marketshare in Asia, but globally it's tiny.
WP7 is bigger than Bada globally and it's still tiny.

I'd like WebOS to succeed, as I think it's a well-designed OS, but it's not very likely, nor is it very likely that Tizen or Firefox OS gain any significant marketshare. Just look at Maemo, Moblin and MeeGo.. All of them pretty much dead in the water. Why would Tizen do any better?

This is why Android, despite it's faults, is the only realistic option. It has the marketshare, and it's not going away anytime soon.

Reply Parent Score: 1

RE[3]: Yes please
by Lennie on Tue 3rd Jul 2012 13:14 in reply to "RE[2]: Yes please"
Lennie Member since:
2007-09-22

Because Bada is from Samsung and Tizen is just the new Bada on Linux which can run most of the same applications.

Bada isn't even in the same market segment as Android, geographically wise and maybe not even price wise.

Reply Parent Score: 4

RE[4]: Yes please
by plague on Tue 3rd Jul 2012 13:27 in reply to "RE[3]: Yes please"
plague Member since:
2006-05-08

Yeah, I know..
But noone (read: the global general public) knows what Tizen, or even Bada, is. If even Windows Phone won't sell, despite having a very very familiar name and logo, how do you expect Tizen would stand a chance?
There aren't more apps for Bada then there are for WP7, so beeing able to run Bada apps is not good enough for Tizen to be able to succeed.. Hell, even if Tizen ran Android apps it wouldn't be enough. Joe User simply doesn't care about some new OS he's never heard of. iPhone or Android, that's what Joe User knows and wants. Without Joe User, there simply won't be any significant marketshare.

Don't get me wrong, I really want Tizen to succeed, but I highly doubt it will.

Reply Parent Score: 1

RE[3]: Yes please
by cdude on Tue 3rd Jul 2012 22:47 in reply to "RE[2]: Yes please"
cdude Member since:
2008-09-21

> WP7 is bigger than Bada globally and it's still tiny.

Not the case. Bada runs on more phones, has a higher marketshare then WP and unlike WP bada is growing!

http://omgbada.wordpress.com/2012/02/04/bada-market-share-soaring/

> I'd like WebOS to succeed, as I think it's a well-designed OS, but it's not very likely, nor is it very likely that Tizen or Firefox OS gain any significant marketshare.

Why not?

> Just look at Maemo, Moblin and MeeGo.. All of them pretty much dead in the water.

Cause Nokia killed them before they hit the market.

> Why would Tizen do any better?

Tizen is Samsung and 2 of its 3 platforms are a success already. Why should the 3th be different?

Edited 2012-07-03 22:51 UTC

Reply Parent Score: 4

RE[4]: Yes please
by plague on Tue 3rd Jul 2012 23:57 in reply to "RE[3]: Yes please"
plague Member since:
2006-05-08

> WP7 is bigger than Bada globally and it's still tiny.

Not the case. Bada runs on more phones, has a higher marketshare then WP and unlike WP bada is growing!

http://omgbada.wordpress.com/2012/02/04/bada-market-share-soaring/

I stand corrected. ;)

> I'd like WebOS to succeed, as I think it's a well-designed OS, but it's not very likely, nor is it very likely that Tizen or Firefox OS gain any significant marketshare.

Why not?

Because neither Maemo, Moblin nor MeeGo had any significant marketshare and they all were killed off.
History has a tendency to repeat itself.
Call me pessimist, but that's my opinion.
We'll see how it goes, but I'm not holding my breath.

> Just look at Maemo, Moblin and MeeGo.. All of them pretty much dead in the water.

Cause Nokia killed them before they hit the market.

Not entirely true, Maemo was sold on the Nokia N series up until MeeGo on the N9.
So Maemo hit the market, but it was before the smartphone "boom".
Yes, MeeGo is Maemo and Moblin merged which Nokia withdrew from, thereby killing MeeGo.
But why start off fresh with Tizen? Why not continue MeeGo with another partner? Or why not continue Moblin with another partner?
It just seems like a stupid decision to start all over again. It's like that community project (Maemo, Moblin, MeeGo, Tizen) is stuck in development/reinvent-the-wheel/not-invented-here-syndrome hell.

> Why would Tizen do any better?

Tizen is Samsung and 2 of its 3 platforms are a success already. Why should the 3th be different?

Time will tell.. I hope it succeeds, I really do, but I can't help beeing sceptical considering the history of that particular community effort.

Anyways, even if Tizen, Firefox OS, WebOS or even Mer gets successful, I still think Android would be a better choice for Nokia in the short term, as it already has a huge marketshare and it would surely save the company unless they seriously screw it up badly.

It would be a mistake to use an OS that has little to no current marketshare as their plan B.

It also would make no sense for Nokia to use their competitors system (Bada/Tizen) instead of just rolling the dice with their own (Maemo/MeeGo) or go Android and become "just another Android OEM" for the moment.

Reply Parent Score: 1