Linked by Thom Holwerda on Fri 13th Jul 2012 16:15 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless "If we then use comScore's figure for total smartphone users (110 million) then the data would suggest that there are 330k Lumias in use in the US. This would have been accumulated over a sales period of about four months." Ouch. For a phone with such a huge marketing push, this is quite painful.
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RE: Good news!
by Nelson on Fri 13th Jul 2012 16:43 UTC in reply to "Good news!"
Nelson
Member since:
2005-11-29

He's also been shown to be consistently wrong, on nearly all his numbers.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[2]: Good news!
by chithanh on Fri 13th Jul 2012 16:48 in reply to "RE: Good news!"
chithanh Member since:
2006-06-18

Tomi Ahonen was able to more accurately predict Nokia's marketshare than the whole gang in charge of Nokia (who keep on babbling about "sales below expectations", "stronger competition than expected", etc.).

Reply Parent Score: 3

RE[3]: Good news!
by Nelson on Fri 13th Jul 2012 16:52 in reply to "RE[2]: Good news!"
Nelson Member since:
2005-11-29

No, actually, he hasn't. I of course welcome you to show me otherwise.

He was a smart man before 2011, before Nokia made a decision he disagreed with. Now he's a troll with an agenda, and his own past quotes are continuously viewed against him.

I guess I can see where he'd look legitimate to people who desperately want to believe what he's saying is true.

Reply Parent Score: 1

RE[2]: Good news!
by _cynic_ on Fri 13th Jul 2012 16:57 in reply to "RE: Good news!"
_cynic_ Member since:
2012-04-18

Well at least it's better than Gartner's "WP world domination" prediction.

Reply Parent Score: 6

RE[3]: Good news!
by Nelson on Fri 13th Jul 2012 17:00 in reply to "RE[2]: Good news!"
Nelson Member since:
2005-11-29

Arguably just as bad ;) analysts must have a sweet job, just making shit up.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[2]: Good news!
by satan666 on Fri 13th Jul 2012 17:04 in reply to "RE: Good news!"
satan666 Member since:
2008-04-18

He was wrong by being too optimistic in his predictions. The WP8 and Nokia numbers are even worse. He was the most pessimistic of all analysts and yet the closest to the actual numbers. By definition, predictions tend to be at least slightly wrong.

Reply Parent Score: 8

RE[3]: Good news!
by Nelson on Fri 13th Jul 2012 17:10 in reply to "RE[2]: Good news!"
Nelson Member since:
2005-11-29

He's been dead wrong on his "N9 outsold Lumia numbers", dead wrong on his analysis of the "Elop effect" and dead wrong about "High return rates" on Lumia devices.

He misleads, mischaracterizes, and bans anyone from his blog who proves otherwise.

Reply Parent Score: 2