Linked by Thom Holwerda on Fri 13th Jul 2012 16:15 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless "If we then use comScore's figure for total smartphone users (110 million) then the data would suggest that there are 330k Lumias in use in the US. This would have been accumulated over a sales period of about four months." Ouch. For a phone with such a huge marketing push, this is quite painful.
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RE[2]: Good news!
by chithanh on Fri 13th Jul 2012 16:48 UTC in reply to "RE: Good news!"
chithanh
Member since:
2006-06-18

Tomi Ahonen was able to more accurately predict Nokia's marketshare than the whole gang in charge of Nokia (who keep on babbling about "sales below expectations", "stronger competition than expected", etc.).

Reply Parent Score: 3

RE[3]: Good news!
by Nelson on Fri 13th Jul 2012 16:52 in reply to "RE[2]: Good news!"
Nelson Member since:
2005-11-29

No, actually, he hasn't. I of course welcome you to show me otherwise.

He was a smart man before 2011, before Nokia made a decision he disagreed with. Now he's a troll with an agenda, and his own past quotes are continuously viewed against him.

I guess I can see where he'd look legitimate to people who desperately want to believe what he's saying is true.

Reply Parent Score: 1

RE[4]: Good news!
by chithanh on Fri 13th Jul 2012 18:22 in reply to "RE[3]: Good news!"
chithanh Member since:
2006-06-18

No, actually, he hasn't. I of course welcome you to show me otherwise.

Yes. Let's take for example his prediction about Symbian sales:

His prediction on 2011-02-15 was that Nokia would be at 12% global smartphone marketshare at 2011Q4.[1]
That was very much spot on with the numbers that Gartner published one year later.[2]
In their Q4 earnings call, Nokia admitted that they "will sell fewer Symbian devices than [Nokia] previously anticipated."

He was a smart man before 2011, before Nokia made a decision he disagreed with. Now he's a troll with an agenda, and his own past quotes are continuously viewed against him.

I guess I can see where he'd look legitimate to people who desperately want to believe what he's saying is true.

I don't know about how smart he is or what kind of agenda he he has, but his predictions about Nokia marketshare were mostly in agreement with the measured numbers from Gartner, comScore and Nielsen.


[1] http://communities-dominate.blogs.com/brands/2011/02/when-things-ge...
[2] http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=1924314

Reply Parent Score: 6