Linked by Thom Holwerda on Tue 14th Aug 2012 12:13 UTC
Hardware, Embedded Systems "Back in 2005, we charted 30 years of personal computer market share to show graphically how the industry had developed, who succeeded and when, and how some iconic names eventually faded away completely. With the rise of whole new classes of 'personal computers' - tablets and smartphones - it's worth updating all the numbers once more. And when we do so, we see something surprising: the adoption rates for our beloved mobile devices absolutely blow away the last few decades of desktop computer growth. People are adopting new technology faster than ever before." BeOS not mentioned. Would not read again. 2/10.
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franksands
Member since:
2009-08-18

Things are changing. If the iPad taught us anything is that the majority of people does not want a generic purpose computer. They want a computer that works like a TV: turn on, watch a couple channels and turn off. I really think the numbers of PCs as we see today (desktops and laptops) will become niche markets, and will only be used in places where it's still needed, like in any creative company. In the homes of most people we should find tablets or smart TVs or any other media device.

Reply Parent Score: 3

Sodki Member since:
2005-11-10

Things are changing. If the iPad taught us anything is that the majority of people does not want a generic purpose computer. They want a computer that works like a TV: turn on, watch a couple channels and turn off. I really think the numbers of PCs as we see today (desktops and laptops) will become niche markets, and will only be used in places where it's still needed, like in any creative company. In the homes of most people we should find tablets or smart TVs or any other media device.


I disagree with this view. Tablets and smartphones are just a new consumer medium and will not replace desktops nor laptops at large, simply because each device is different. People buy tablets in addition to their desktop/laptop.

Do you know anyone with a tablet that doesn't own a desktop and/or a laptop? Because where I'm standing most of the tablet owners have a desktop, a laptop, a smartphone AND a tablet, plus the desktop and/or a laptop at work.

Reply Parent Score: 2

tidux Member since:
2011-08-13

If anything, I think tablets and smartphones eat a bit into each other's markets, as well as spelling the end of netbooks. Real laptops with screens more than 600 pixels high will continue to do well.

Reply Parent Score: 2

KLU9 Member since:
2006-12-06

The reason why people still use desktops & laptops is mainly because of limits in input & output technologies (e.g. screens & keyboards).

With big companies hiring smart people and betting the farm on new / alternative input & output technologies (the tip of the iceberg being things like Siri & Project Glass), is it so inconceivable that one day people won't need the big glass rectangles and collection of plastic squares with letters on them that are the main reason they stick with desktops & laptops?

Once the input & output options advance enough (e.g. perfect voice control & picoprojectors or HUDs), people won't need to bother with desktops & laptops 95% of the time. And once that critical mass, is reached, solutions will probably be found for that other 5% of the time too.

Reply Parent Score: 4

franksands Member since:
2009-08-18

My sister in law was completely happy with her MacBook, until she bought an iPad. Now she almost never touches the laptop and does even work related tasks on the iPad. I, myself, have been avoiding my laptop when possible just on the thought of having to turn it on and wait for it to boot and what not.

Edited 2012-08-15 02:46 UTC

Reply Parent Score: 2