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I address the undervaluation in my previous to the post you are quoting part of. By 2013, they will reach ~1000. After that the bubble will burst, and yes, it is a bubble.
I never said they would definitively disappear in 10 years. That is actually a part of another poster's quote tacked on to mine. But it is possible that if they have bet too strongly on a single market and their stock bubble burst, which it will by 2014 at the earliest, then they could end up like other tech corporations that were tops and then went bankrupt.
If things go a different route, then yes, Apple could and would end up being like Microsoft. Check out MSFT's parabolic rise, then drop-off, and finally their flat but stable stock price for the last 7+ years. Either way, Apple is not destined to maintain this 'high' either creatively, financially, or psychologically with its 'customers'.




Member since:
2005-11-03
I'm not a very big fan of Apple these days, but it's not a bubble. The P/E is 15.61 and their earnings are $42.55 per share. If anything, the stock might be slightly undervalued. Suggesting that they will be lucky to still exist in 10 years is pure idiocy (their market cap in GDP terms would put them at 18 in the world and they have $100 billion cash on hand). All of that being said, there's plenty of room for them to fall from where they're at and I expect they will. 10 years from now they'll most likely be like Microsoft is today; a very valuable, very profitable company, but not the cool kid on the block.