Linked by Thom Holwerda on Thu 20th Sep 2012 22:22 UTC
Hardware, Embedded Systems If there's one over-used buzzword currently making the rounds in the technology industry, it's 'post-PC world' - or the notion that desktops and laptops are a dying breed. Todd Bradley, executive vice president of HP's printing and personal systems group, thinks this is a nonsensical notion - and he's right.
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Its mostly happened
by jeffb on Sat 22nd Sep 2012 12:04 UTC
jeffb
Member since:
2005-07-19

When this claim was made even 3 years back it was debatable. I think there is a misunderstanding reading the comments. PostPC is a question of which device plays the mass role. What is the primary device the majority of people use. There never was a claim that heavy content creators wouldn't need more sophisticated devices but rather that the general in use device would be optimized for consumption or light editing not creation.

That's already happened. Smartphones will outsell desktops in 2012 by volume and by dollars. The research money is going into smartphones. Tablets have emerged offering a hybrid and are cutting deeply into PC sales. There cannot be a debate about if, what was claimed has already happened.

What's worth debating is how far can this process go? We currently are around 300m PCs sold a year. Can this be dropped to 100m / yr? Could tablets drive it further and desktop type system be down around 10m a year? Those are interesting questions. But we are in the PostPC era. That's done.

Reply Score: 1

RE: Its mostly happened
by ilovebeer on Sat 22nd Sep 2012 14:55 in reply to "Its mostly happened"
ilovebeer Member since:
2011-08-08

Tablets have emerged offering a hybrid and are cutting deeply into PC sales. There cannot be a debate about if, what was claimed has already happened.

Just one slight problem with your comment... It's not true. PC sales remain consistent and have seen very little impact due to tablets. People are not replacing PC purchases with tablet purchases. The theory that PC sales are being "deeply cut into" by anything is simply not supported by any facts.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[2]: Its mostly happened
by jeffb on Sat 22nd Sep 2012 17:35 in reply to "RE: Its mostly happened"
jeffb Member since:
2005-07-19

Taking IDC numbers for example for 2Q

2011 vs 2010 growth 11.2%
2012 vs. 2011 growth -1.%

2010 vs. 2009 btw was over 14%

So we are talking (2012 isn't over) something like 30-60m less PCs sold this year than would have happened without the tablet based fall off.

Reply Parent Score: 1