Linked by David Adams on Sun 14th Jul 2013 17:49 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless A perennial question that revolves around Nokia is: why didn't it choose to go with Android to replace Symbian when it decided to kill that as its smartphone operating system in late 2010?
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chithanh
Member since:
2006-06-18

While Elop's decisions might not have been the best for Nokia, I think that he genuinely believed that Nokia could make the transition to Windows Phone a success.

My theoriy is that he believed the analysts who made ridiculous forecasts regarding Windows Phone sales. For example this one from IDC[1] who projected in 2011 that WP would pass iOS and reach 20.9% share in 2015 - a prediction that has later been revised to 11.4% in 2016. And that was by far not the most absurd prediction[2].

[1] http://www.neowin.net/news/2017-forecast-windows-phone-at-127-1bn-a...
[2] http://www.pyramidresearch.com/points/item/110509.htm

Reply Parent Score: 2

moondevil Member since:
2005-07-08

While Elop's decisions might not have been the best for Nokia, I think that he genuinely believed that Nokia could make the transition to Windows Phone a success.


This is a joke, right?

How could he never heard of the Osborne effect?

Did he really believed that with the death announcement of Symbian, after making Symbian developers believe that Symbian C++ was dead and the way forward was Qt/C++, developers would bet the farm again on their products?!

Symbian C++ was a pain to develop for, and many software houses did invest a lot to transition their development to Qt/C++.

Then they needed to do the same again, and on top of that to .NET, which is not properly loved in C++ circles.

Really!? What were they smoking?!

Reply Parent Score: 16

chithanh Member since:
2006-06-18

How could he never heard of the Osborne effect?

I already said that the decisions were not the best for Nokia. Nokia had the cash reserves to sit through Symbian sales collapse. Also killing Symbian quickly could have made consumers more ready to adopt Windows phones (in reality almost all went to Android).

Really!? What were they smoking?!

Smoking? Not sure. But they were drinking the Microsoft kool-aid.

Reply Parent Score: 3

Fergy Member since:
2006-04-10

While Elop's decisions might not have been the best for Nokia, I think that he genuinely believed that Nokia could make the transition to Windows Phone a success.

Then he is genuinely stupid and the shareholders even more stupid. Nokia could have gone for: symbian, maemo, android and windows phone. They would not have a 2+ year time period without compelling products. They wouldn't have had to fire all those software people. They would still have the possibility to distinguish themselves by hardware, software and their own appstore.

This article does not explain why they did not use android. I hope samsung goes full force for the windows phone market and capture 90% of its marketshare. That would be a great laugh.

Reply Parent Score: 8