Linked by Thom Holwerda on Wed 7th Aug 2013 21:16 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless I wrote this almost exactly three years ago, to much debate:

Sure, Apple will most likely still make far more money per sold iPhone device than competitors will per Android phone, but the trend is clear: as much as I love my iPhone, it will be relegated to a ~10% market share figure within a few quarters.

It took a little longer than "a few quarters", but here we are. Android has revolutionised the smartphone market. I'm not particularly happy about that (both Android and Samsung are far too dominant, which is bad for the market and thus for consumers), but there it is.

Thread beginning with comment 569101
To view parent comment, click here.
To read all comments associated with this story, please click here.
RE: The final conclusion???
by Fergy on Thu 8th Aug 2013 06:12 UTC in reply to "The final conclusion???"
Fergy
Member since:
2006-04-10

How will you justify it to yourself/us if/when Apple takes back the dominant roll?

Do you have good reasons why Apple would gain significant marketshare? They have so much competition now: Android, Winp, BB, Linux, FirefoxOS etc.

What advantages does iPhone have over them?

Reply Parent Score: 4

RE[2]: The final conclusion???
by Lennie on Thu 8th Aug 2013 18:01 in reply to "RE: The final conclusion???"
Lennie Member since:
2007-09-22

I think it will be hard to innovate at the OS/hardware on smartphone at all.

So what big advances are going to happen ?

The biggest problem right now is: battery technology.

If that gets improved, there can be proper innovation again.

There are some signs that it might happen though.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[3]: The final conclusion???
by Fergy on Thu 8th Aug 2013 18:10 in reply to "RE[2]: The final conclusion???"
Fergy Member since:
2006-04-10

The biggest problem right now is: battery technology.

Having a 2x better battery technology would be nice but I think it can be solved by smarter engineering. Intel is working hard on this stuff with integrated power management processors and choosing the most power efficient components for the motherboard. On top of that software can be a lot smarter. My phone does a lot of stuff in the background when it is in my pocket. Why? It should just standby for calls/sms and do the bare minimum of keeping the clock running.
My HTC One has a few battery tricks I like and that really work well but even then it could be much better.

Reply Parent Score: 3

RE[2]: The final conclusion???
by HappyGod on Thu 8th Aug 2013 23:44 in reply to "RE: The final conclusion???"
HappyGod Member since:
2005-10-19

I think that the performance of Android might cause some users who have switched to switch back.

Not enough to make a difference, but I think it could be significant.

I've made the switch to Android, after using an iPhone and then a WM8. But I'll be switching back to iPhone. Android is just too slow. Even with 8 cores.

Additionally, cost is a big draw for Android. If Apple starts offering a cheaper alternative, it might change the game.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[3]: The final conclusion???
by leos on Fri 9th Aug 2013 02:08 in reply to "RE[2]: The final conclusion???"
leos Member since:
2005-09-21

I think that the performance of Android might cause some users who have switched to switch back.

Not enough to make a difference, but I think it could be significant.

I've made the switch to Android, after using an iPhone and then a WM8. But I'll be switching back to iPhone. Android is just too slow. Even with 8 cores.

Additionally, cost is a big draw for Android. If Apple starts offering a cheaper alternative, it might change the game.


Agreed on the performance front. I think Android is getting better, but even with 4.3 and a Nexus device it is still not quite there. I am hypersensitive to lag though, so I suspect it is good enough for most people.

However don't hold your breath for cheaper apple gear. Apple has always been a premium manufacturer, they're not about to change.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[3]: The final conclusion???
by Fergy on Fri 9th Aug 2013 06:36 in reply to "RE[2]: The final conclusion???"
Fergy Member since:
2006-04-10

I think that the performance of Android might cause some users who have switched to switch back.

Not enough to make a difference, but I think it could be significant.

I've made the switch to Android, after using an iPhone and then a WM8. But I'll be switching back to iPhone. Android is just too slow. Even with 8 cores.

Additionally, cost is a big draw for Android. If Apple starts offering a cheaper alternative, it might change the game.

For phones like Samsung S4 and HTC One the cost is not a big draw. I have never heard iPhone users complain about the price? People that just want a cheap phone don't really care which OS it is.
About performance: my HTC one feels super fast even with task switching

Reply Parent Score: 3