Linked by Thom Holwerda on Mon 10th May 2010 14:55 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless When Apple sued HTC, and targeted Android specifically (news which came out of the blue), many people, including myself, were convinced this was Apple letting the world know they were afraid of Android's rising popularity. This notion was laughed away by many an Apple fan, but it turns out that this is most likely far closer to reality than many dare to admit: in the first quarter of 2010, Android conquered the number two market share spot from the iPhone in the US - and by a wide margin too. Update: Added a graph which better shows the trend.
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Bill Shooter of Bul
Member since:
2006-07-14

There are some logical hole sin your conclusion as well:

* Most cell phone purchases are based on the two year contract cycle. As the article says there are many people who's contract with at&t is coming up this summer. Those people have not had an opportunity to choose an alternative android phone yet, as android wasn't available on at&t two years ago.

* It should also be noted that there is going to be some lock in with iphone users. They are familiar to the interface and may have invested in apps that would not be transferable to android phones. A neutral user that has the choice of choosing a first smart phone will not have that lockin.

Based on those two points, I don't think you can reliably assume that apple's at&t smart phone market share would be duplicated, if it were now available to a larger audience.

That doesn't mean that Thom's prediction will bear out. Just correcting inaccuracies,wild craziness and statistical abuse where I see it.

Reply Parent Score: 2

kristoph Member since:
2006-01-01

I totally agree that Apple's success with AT&T will not be duplicated with other carriers, I think that's a given. I actually also think Apple's share of the AT&T market will decline. However, given that Apple has another 65+% of the US market it can tap it would take a collapse of biblical proportion for them to fall to 10%.

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Reply Parent Score: 1

Bill Shooter of Bul Member since:
2006-07-14

Well, if the iphones turned into snakes and killed everyone's first born son. Then, it would be a collapse of biblical proportions.

Out of morbid curiosity, I wonder if anyone has built a ten commandments monument out of ipads for display in a courtroom/ modern art display.

Reply Parent Score: 3