Linked by Howard Fosdick on Mon 13th Dec 2010 23:11 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless It's hard to predict the future because we humans prefer to think in terms of familiar paradigms. Even the most brilliant of our species are subject to this flaw. Now, Microsoft faces its turn. The owner of the operating system that likely runs your personal computer, the company that achieved monopoly with Windows and ducked the Department of Justice's scythe to keep it, faces a midlife crisis as the world goes gaga over portable consumer devices. This is the story of what's happening to Microsoft in the handheld operating system markets -- and how it parallels the earlier, similar journeys of IBM Corporation and Digital Equipment Corporation. Can Microsoft achieve dominance on mobile devices?
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The future as I see it.
by sorpigal on Tue 14th Dec 2010 13:26 UTC
sorpigal
Member since:
2005-11-02

In the future everyone will carry a smart phone around with them. When they approach a computer terminal, which will be a stationary mouse, keyboard and monitor, the phone will sync using high bandwidth low-distance wireless protocols. While at the terminal you simply set your phone on the desk/table, or even leave it in your pocket; you might plug it in to the power jack and possibly into an ethernet jack for faster net access (these might be one cable). All of your computing always takes place on your own device, possibly farming out intensive computation to external servers via partially-web/cloud/net-based apps. Storage is local to your phone with a sync service which mirrors to redundant, encrypted storage on a remote service provider silently and in the background, or on demand. Some files may not really existing locally but will be transferred on-demand if they are not in the local disk cache.

Thus, wherever you go you have your own computer and your own data, all of which is secure. None of this requires any technology that isn't present now.

Reply Score: 4

RE: The future as I see it.
by bnolsen on Tue 14th Dec 2010 14:24 in reply to "The future as I see it."
bnolsen Member since:
2006-01-06

This paradigm may work to replace a home PC but likely won't work for public terminals (disease and security...atms aren't even that secure).

Edited 2010-12-14 14:25 UTC

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[2]: The future as I see it.
by sorpigal on Wed 15th Dec 2010 18:34 in reply to "RE: The future as I see it."
sorpigal Member since:
2005-11-02

What "Public terminals"? These don't exist now and won't exist in the future. The glorified kiosk systems you see here and there are not real computers, even if they happen to be implemented as real computers today, and will be something else in the future.

Where this will happen is home and some school and work environments.

Reply Parent Score: 2