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That is what may actually happen, because Flash has a lot of tools which support website creation. The issue of WebM vs H264 video doesn't really affect this much.
What is needed to supplant Flash is widely-available and sufficiently functional tools for website creation of HTML5/CSS3/SVG/ECMAscript websites (i.e. standards-compliant websites which don't require Flash but which are just as flashy, if you follow).
Enter BlueGriffon, announced yesterday.
http://www.prweb.com/releases/prweb2011/5/prweb8391644.htm
http://www.bluegriffon.org/
IMO, offerings such as BlueGriffon will do far more to hasten the demise of Flash than WebM support in Flash will do to delay that demise.
As a long time web developer, previously HTML/CSS/JavaScript enthusiast - the last thing I want is Flash's demise. I understand the hatred from Linux users (and OSX users to a lesser extent - though HTML sucked for a long time there too), but developing in HTML5 is garbage compared to Flash development.
That said, Adobe is moving solidly into the app space with AIR, Flash as a platform will be fine - and HTML can linger in it's perpetually incomplete headache space for all of eternity for all I care (call me bitter).
(I still hold on to a very tiny amount of hope that HTML will one day be complete and competitive as a real app platform - with the current players and games, I really don't have any expectations for it.)
Sounds pretty nice, as a successor to NVU in the WYSIWYG HTML editor family, but I'm not sure if it's good for coding "real" websites though.
Also, a good competitor to Flash should offer vector animation facilities with good event management, so that Flash games may finally start to get some standards-compliant competition ^^
Doubt it.
It is a nice idea and will be good for basic websites.
Cross browser issues will still plague it and because the author is using a WYSIWYG tool they won't understand how to fix these issues when they load up the site in another browser (all browsers have rendering issues and bugs).
Also generated markup and CSS is always far from optimal, what about Mobile Devices (mobile web traffic will overtake traditional web traffic in 2014 according to some industry whitepapers).
Also there is no mention of Javascript?
Also Flash isn't supposed to be used for a whole website.
It is perfect to use on Games and Interactive Content that merge user interaction and video, Charts (though CSS 3.0 and JS can do this incredibly well now) and I am sure there are plenty of use cases that I can't think of.
Plugins aren't going away any time soon.





Member since:
2005-08-10
No, you really don't. The most painful way to die is slowly...