Linked by Thom Holwerda on Wed 29th Aug 2012 22:52 UTC
Linux Miguel de Icaza: "To sum up: (a) First dimension: things change too quickly, breaking both open source and proprietary software alike; (b) incompatibility across Linux distributions. This killed the ecosystem for third party developers trying to target Linux on the desktop. You would try once, do your best effort to support the 'top' distro or if you were feeling generous 'the top three' distros. Only to find out that your software no longer worked six months later. Supporting Linux on the desktop became a burden for independent developers." Mac OS X came along to scoop up the Linux defectors.
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RE: Comment by Kroc
by Gullible Jones on Thu 30th Aug 2012 17:21 UTC in reply to "Comment by Kroc"
Gullible Jones
Member since:

Re the desktop ceasing to exist, I think it would be better to say that the desktop may cease to exist as a separate device.

Some things are much more easily done on a desktop. Coding, writing, image editing... Smart phones can do these things now, but don't have the right display and input mechanisms for it.

My suspicion is that, in 10 years or so, a "desktop" will be a combined monitor, keyboard, and I/O hub that you plug your phone into. IOW then-current desktops will not be separate devices for most people, because smart phones will be powerful enough to do everything a modern desktop can; but the role of the desktop will still be there, because there simply isn't a better way to do a lot of things.

Reply Parent Score: 3

RE[2]: Comment by Kroc
by bassbeast on Thu 30th Aug 2012 20:29 in reply to "RE: Comment by Kroc"
bassbeast Member since:

Not gonna happen, and here is why: mobile chips are naturally designed for battery life above all and even the latest and greatest has MUCH worse IPC than even a 6 year old C2D much less the new AMD and Intel multicore monsters.

Can we put that "Tablets are killing the desktop!" meme to bed already? I've been selling systems since 1993, right down in the trenches, and what I'm seeing is the exact opposite in that there are more x86 systems than ever and THAT is why sales are down, not because anything is replacing anything. What jobs do your average user have that a Phenom I X4 or C2Q can't do with cycles left over? None, that's what. Heck I'm gaming on a 3 year old Phenom II X6 and my youngest took my Phenom II X4 has a "hand me down" and both sit there twiddling their thumbs while playing the latest games!

The simple fact is in their "war of the cores" both AMD and Intel leapfrogged right past good enough and went even past insanely overpowered and right to ludicrous speed! People are buying tablets and smartphones because in the case of the tablets they are filling a niche, the "check my email while plopped on the couch" niche while the smartphones are having their own MHz war and as such the phone you bought last year won't run the latest this year.

Desktops aren't going anywhere, they are simply a mature market. Since ARM is already talking about "dark silicon" where the chip will have more transistors than the battery can feed give it 3 years and you'll see the same thing happen with mobile, then like desktops folks won't replace them until they die.

Reply Parent Score: 4