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Uh, I didn't overlook anything - I actually said the exact same thing you did.
Nelson is obviously wrong on a simple statement; you, however, are being highly misleading by subtler omission.
You point to 2010's increase in Symbian sales, thereby implying Nokia were actually doing alright prior to the burning memo. What you conveniently omit to mention is that Nokia's market share was simultaneously plummeting:
Provide the full context, and it's easy to see why Ahonen was rightly crapping it in January 2011: Nokia was in major trouble a full year before Elop so publicly pointed it out.
Had Nelson said "Nokia's market share was plummeting" instead of "Nokia's sales were plummeting", his post would've been absolutely dead on the mark, but while he screwed up on the wording at least he correctly gauged just how much trouble Nokia was in prior to the burning memo.
Whereas, your response may be technically accurate, but (whether by accident or intent) is a textbook demonstration of the classic "lies, damned lies, and statistics" axiom in action. It's just a shame Mr Elop didn't follow your example back at the time. :p