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Just look at ourselves... each to his own favourite distro. Unfortunately distro fragmentation is one of the top problems in Linux. The guy who said Android was winning is probably right. It's the only "distro" that made it. I wouldn't consider Ubuntu since it never left the 1% of market share barrier, let alone now with Unity defecting thousands of users.
Fragmentation leads to choice and that is good, but not so good.
It's only a problem if one particularly cares about market share. A significant portion of us don't. I know I didn't start with slackware all those ages ago because I cared about Linux/FOSS taking over the world. It just happened to be a fun toy that later evolved into a seriously useful set of tools.
I started using Linux in 1999, with Red Hat 5.2. I tried Slackware. At that time, popular systems like Windows 98 were full of constant crashes and instability not to mention the Win32 applications. We were thirsty for the whole idea of Linux and a total free new userspace. Of course there were already GNU tools but just laid anonymous in Unix systems. It was basically Red Hat that made this achievement to push Linux towards enthusiasts.
Microsoft learned how to battle its virtual competitors, and linux desktop developers have learned recently how to shoot in their foot right on time of a major shift. (Hello GNOME 3 and Unity!) Edited 2012-10-22 21:33 UTC
it's a problem all the time. there are uncountable crappy desktop linux distros and hardly 1 good one.
the debate over this question is not because there are too many good linux distros. we are exercising our fingers sifting through turd
I feel your pain, I really do. And you guys may really have something about Android making it. Maybe the Droid is really the real flagship for Linux now? Not Ubuntu, not OpenSUSE, not RHEL,...