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No the PC is not dying, that is a strawman. What it is undeniable is that the areas of growth are now elsewhere.
The computing field's growth has always been on the smaller/faster/cheaper category. Up to recently, the PC was the forefront of that category, now it is no longer the case. Smaller/cheaper mobile devices are where the momentum has shifted, once they are smaller/cheaper/and as fast as the PC, then PCs will start to go the way of the workstation, the minicomputer, and the mainframe that went before them.
Some people get too caught out in the specifics of the tool, to the point they miss its essence.
I'm sorry but you are wrong and here is why: Bandwidth caps. Corps are adding nastier and nastier caps here in the states rather than use their profits to buy new lines and the simple fact is that to pack as many features as a fat client program would equal major bandwidth suckage.
This is why I've said all those "We'll stream the games to the user" companies are doomed, they just won't be able to get enough bandwidth to the end user to make the services work. First time the user gets a $200+ bill for playing $50 worth of games that will be the end of that, we'll be seeing the same thing happened to the "cloud" fad in the next few years. BTW we have already gone through one cloud fad in the late 90s, then as now it was bandwidth that killed the idea.
For what you say to become true you would need a MINIMUM of 100Mbps FTTH, 1Gbps would be better if you want it to feel no different than using a traditional fat client program but most of the planet are seeing nowhere near those speeds. Look up the speeds of the major cities in the USA (where a good chunk of the software industry is based) and you'll see speeds around 20Mbps, even in the large metro areas like LA, Miami, Dallas, the lines just haven't kept up with the times and even Netflix is having to pay for caches closer to the users so they don't lose customers to caps.
So I'm sorry friend but until the world is draped in fiber, which at current roll out speed will probably take another 30+ years, its just not gonna happen. The schools that buy this are gonna find out real quick when they get hit for the bill for having to have their own backbone link to feed all these internet only ChromeBooks and that will be the end of that. If Google would combine Chrome with Android like they said they would, give users a true offline mode? it could be a big hit, but until then I'm sorry but most will find it all but worthless without a 24/7/365 roaming connection which at least in the USA would require a WISP or Cellular, both of which are VERY expensive.
I agree the OS is irrelevant. The applications are what is important and right now ChromeOS is severely lacking.
Why would anyone buy a Chromebook when for just a little more you can get a fully functional laptop that can run Chrome apps as well as millions of other native apps? I just don't get it.




Member since:
2006-03-20
The operating system will become irrelevant.
Its job will be to provide a browser.