SEMI, the semiconductor manufacturing equipment trade group, interviewed Gordon Moore, the retired chairman and CEO of Intel Corporation, which he co-founded in 1968. Moore is widely known for ‘Moore’s Law’, a 1965 prediction that the number of components on a computer chip would double every year. The interview details the early days of semiconductor manufacturing.
Well, not exactly every year, unless maybe at the very beginning.
There are many values for that doubling delay, sometimes it is 18 months, sometimes it is 24 months. Often, any exponential raise in computer science is -wrongly- labeled as Moore’s law (which deals with the number of transistors).
My tweaked law would be ‘the delay for the doubling time in the Moore law doubles every 10 years’, eventually ending to an asymptotical maximum.
Interesting. That makes the number of transistors on a chip:
2^((2^(x/10))*x)
which grows VERY quickly, but only approaches infinity as x approaches infinity. I knew I studied maths for a reason.
Yuck you’re right, in my formula the sky is the limit, and I don’t believe that’s right.
Due to the global situation of the XXI century, that curb may even decrease.
There are numerous example in history of forgotten technologies and retrograde technological evolutions.