Linked by Kroc Camen on Wed 6th Oct 2010 16:37 UTC
Editorial In response to Jean-Louis Glassee's article "The OS Doesn't Matter..." I wrote quite simply: the future of the browser wars is he who integrates with the OS best. This phrase came from my article lambasting Microsoft's use of HTML for their IE9 jump lists, which caused quite a stir. In the wave of ever increasing web browser capability, the operating system is going to matter to web users more than it ever has before.
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deathshadow
Member since:
2005-07-12

How can it (IE) be declining in relevance when IE has MORE users today than it had when it was at 99% of the market.

DO NOT let market share be used to lie to you!!!

Let's rub a couple brain cells together and go over what share really means. It comes down to a question people don't ask when they hear a percentage and should; "A percentage of WHAT?"

Let's make this easy and compare 2005 to 2008. We have pretty concrete numbers to play with in that range. Besides, it's the most up to date numbers available on google public data, and the wikipedia usage article.

In 2005 IE had roughly 90% of the market still. If you take the time to look at percentage of the world population that was online at the time you find out that 15.9% was online. The population was then 6.46 billion, so that's 1.027 billion people online.

In 2008 IE had roughly 70% of the market... at the same time the percent of population online had grown to 23.9% and the world population had grown to 6.69 billion, so that's 1.59 billion.

90% of 1.027 billion is 924.3 million.
70% of 1.59 billion is 1.113 billion

So while "losing" 20% market share, the number of IE users grew by 189 million.

Current guesstimates put the % of world population online at 34% (given the steady trend of increasing penetration since 2005) and the world population at 6.873 billion, for 2.33 billion.

51.34% (wikipedia's number) of 2.33 billion is 1.19 billion.

Meaning that while dropping from 70% to 51.34% IE gained 77 million new users!!!

Meaning IE is just as relevant as it was five years ago or even ten years ago!

You figure in things like FF's prefetch artificially inflating it's market share, users smart enough to use other browsers getting counted more than once because of all the different devices they use to get online (like me since I get counted for Opera four times - work, home, road laptop, bedside laptop), and those percentages become even shakier.

Basically, most of the people who were using IE five years ago are still using it today... and more people are using it than ever!

DO NO LET SHARE PERCENTAGES BE USED TO PROPAGATE A LIE!

-- edit -- oops, I may have misunderstood your post. Did you mean the OS? You're not very clear on that.

Edited 2010-10-07 01:14 UTC

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