Linked by Thom Holwerda on Fri 13th Jul 2012 16:15 UTC
PDAs, Cellphones, Wireless "If we then use comScore's figure for total smartphone users (110 million) then the data would suggest that there are 330k Lumias in use in the US. This would have been accumulated over a sales period of about four months." Ouch. For a phone with such a huge marketing push, this is quite painful.
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RE[2]: Good news!
by satan666 on Fri 13th Jul 2012 17:04 UTC in reply to "RE: Good news!"
satan666
Member since:
2008-04-18

He was wrong by being too optimistic in his predictions. The WP8 and Nokia numbers are even worse. He was the most pessimistic of all analysts and yet the closest to the actual numbers. By definition, predictions tend to be at least slightly wrong.

Reply Parent Score: 8

RE[3]: Good news!
by Nelson on Fri 13th Jul 2012 17:10 in reply to "RE[2]: Good news!"
Nelson Member since:
2005-11-29

He's been dead wrong on his "N9 outsold Lumia numbers", dead wrong on his analysis of the "Elop effect" and dead wrong about "High return rates" on Lumia devices.

He misleads, mischaracterizes, and bans anyone from his blog who proves otherwise.

Reply Parent Score: 2

RE[4]: Good news!
by satan666 on Fri 13th Jul 2012 17:14 in reply to "RE[3]: Good news!"
satan666 Member since:
2008-04-18

He always supports his arguments with data (like actual numbers). Do you?
Anyway, this is kind of off-topic, so this is my last post on this subject.

Reply Parent Score: 6

RE[4]: Good news!
by shmerl on Fri 13th Jul 2012 17:28 in reply to "RE[3]: Good news!"
shmerl Member since:
2010-06-08

> dead wrong on his analysis of the "Elop effect"

He's pretty right on this one. It was the platform memo thing which marked the breakdown in Nokia. People started leaving, their stocks fell and etc. Elop is an exemplary management failure figure.

Reply Parent Score: 10

RE[4]: Good news!
by chithanh on Fri 13th Jul 2012 18:36 in reply to "RE[3]: Good news!"
chithanh Member since:
2006-06-18

He's been dead wrong on his "N9 outsold Lumia numbers", dead wrong on his analysis of the "Elop effect" and dead wrong about "High return rates" on Lumia devices.

It is hard to get at relative sales data for N9 vs. Lumia. Care to show us yours?

I found this one from Norway's state company Telenor[1], which is based on sales from June 2012 and shows the N9 outselling all Lumias save for the Lumia 800. To put it context, this late in the game, when all N9 carrier marketing has ceased and before it was announced that Lumia wouldn't get WP8.

So it seems not entirely implausible that the N9 has outsold Lumia in 2012Q1.

He misleads, mischaracterizes, and bans anyone from his blog who proves otherwise.

I noticed that some posts were deleted from people who tried to promote their own agenda/blogs, or made off-topic or trolling posts.
A lot of posts which respectfully disagree with him have remained however. So the "anyone" claim is not factually correct.

[1] http://www.online.no/teknologi/mobilene_som_selger_mest.jsp?cid=p-0...

Reply Parent Score: 6