Home > Linux > Linux on Track for DominanceLinux on Track for Dominance David Adams 2002-10-28 Linux 19 CommentsZDNet is reporting on a recent Butler Group report that estimates that by 2009 Linux will have greater market share than proprietary OSes from Sun, HP, and IBM.About The Author David AdamsFollow me on Twitter @david_adams 19 Comments 2002-10-28 6:54 pm Otherwise there is no way to dominance! 2002-10-28 6:58 pm The way all of the Linux zealots always talk I thought Linux already dominated the server area and was going to dominate the desktop by the end of next year. Now we hear it will dominate the server area in 7 years? 2002-10-28 7:08 pm so thats dominance over Sun, IBM and HP…. what about MS? Noone dare make a prediction? 2002-10-28 7:08 pm While the prediction is not one I have any doubts about, who the heck is the “Butler Group”? Sounds like someone blowing their own horn to me. 2002-10-28 7:10 pm This article really means, “server dominance.” That’s all well and good, and it’s nice to see it “confirmed,” but I can’t imagine that this is a major surprise to anyone. 2002-10-28 7:15 pm so thats dominance over Sun, IBM and HP…. what about MS? Noone dare make a prediction?Did you even bother to read the article before you flamz0red? It’s about Linux unseating proprietary UNIX (TM) in the enterprises server space….a niche Redmond has yet to be taken seriously in, let alone dominate.IBM gets itHP Sorta Gets ItSun, whether they get it or not, has their backs up against the wall on both the hardware and OS fronts 2002-10-28 7:19 pm I hope it will be one standard 2002-10-28 7:21 pm One of the “bosses” once suggested that Microsoft will only needle the Linux world, and not attack it wholeheartedly (mostly posturing,) until Linux brings about the demise of the proprietary UNIX world. Then, the gloves come off.Me, I always figured Microsoft would do just like Rome, and “convert” to the New Way of Doing Things, then become “the” source for Linux everything.In other words, go ‘head and have a Linux Community, as long as Rome–er—Microsoft is in control of it…. 2002-10-28 7:35 pm This kind of report make me laugh. Experts can’t even predict correctly what will be the economy state in a month, and now they tell me what OS will be dominant in 7 years ? Jezz, I mean, a bit more than 7 years ago, the PC desktop was ruled by Windows 3.1/3.11 and networking by Netware. 2002-10-28 7:39 pm shessh, talk about a no-brainer prediction. In 7 years not only will linux have dominated the server industry, but also the desktop industry. 2002-10-28 8:06 pm Its obvious you have never used linux 2002-10-28 8:10 pm No, it’s obvious he has never used BeOS 2002-10-28 8:18 pm No, it’s obvious he has never used AmigaOS/Workbench 2002-10-28 8:23 pm In 7 years we may have Solaris 15, Mac OSXVII, IRIX 9, *-BSD 8, OpenBeOS R4, even Windows ‘Bucktooth’. Linux has a bright future, but unlike most platforms, there are arguably more Linux distro’s than total other OS’s combined.Fragmentation is the Linux killer.Linux developers need to start cooperating or you’re gonna get squished….Pick a platform, a language, a UI, even a common FS would help. But spread out too many options and you’ll spread yourself too thin. 2002-10-28 8:30 pm If these guys guess it right they’ll trumpet themselves as having been ahead of the curve. Otherwise, who will care if they made a bad prediction in 7 years?Very likely these guys are just trying to get more advertising hits. 2002-10-28 9:16 pm Linux developers need to start cooperating or you’re gonna get squished…. Jacob, have a look at these links:http://news.com.com/2009-1069-962579.htmlhttp://www.linuxbase.org/LSB is a coordinated effort to stave off the forks and fragmentation in Linux you warn of. I believe it will allow developers of closed-source apps to ship precompiled binaries with a reasonable assurance that they’ll work on distros that are LSB certified.At first glance it would appear Red Hat is throwing their weight around and defining what “standard” Linux is, but they had to make some adjustments themselves to comply with LSB.I think the source and geek distros will always be around for people who want to use open source apps and conduct research, but having LSB to attract commerical development for standardized platforms is a good thing.Even Debian is an LSB member, though the Debian distro isn’t yet certified. RPM might be the standard Linux package format, but LSB calls for RPMs to be made available, not necessarily used by distros themselves. 2002-10-28 11:31 pm If you have 1000 single-cpu x86 computeers running Linux and doing some home-office server duties, is not the same as 1000 multi (2-4) CPU computers with terabytes of diskspace in external enclosures, serving hundreds of employees. I don’t think Sun is worried about that kind of domination. 2002-10-29 3:07 am “In other words, go ‘head and have a Linux Community, as long as Rome–er—Microsoft is in control of it….”Fine MS can be the lead dog, but everything they add to linux is GPLed…oh wait, so MS can’t dominate linux then… hmm…“Fragmentation is the Linux killer.”L…S…B… http://www.linuxbase.org/ 2002-10-29 5:30 am THERE ARE TWO OPTIONS1. UnitedLinux2. Redhattwo flaming choices, simple as that. As for file systems, who cares? JFS, XFS, ReiserFS or EXT3/2 FS, it doesn’t make a brass-wazoo of different to the operationg of a computer.As for the desktop, again, who cares? KDE and Gnome, take your pick. Yes, there is a desktop standard, aka, freedesktop (http://freedesktop.org).I think it is about time people realised that it is THEIR computer, and it is up to THEM to decide what THEY want for the desktop. If you can’t make a basic decision like that, stick to a type writer.