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This McNamee guy is an utter moron. If he actually believes all that he is living in a fantasy. And if he doesn't believe it he is doing a huge disservice to Palm by hyping the damn phone this much - it only rises the expectations unreasonably much and dooms a nice device to a failure. All it would take to suck all the steam out of Palm is for Apple to release a device with a similar to the Pre hardware and slightly improved OS. I won't even comment on the RIM part, because as much as the iPhone and Android were considered no competition to Blackberry for the lack of enterprise features, the Pre seems to lack just as many of those if not even more.
"Think about it - If you bought the first iPhone, you bought it because you wanted the coolest product on the market," McNamee said, "Your two-year contract has just expired. Look around. Tell me what they're going to buy."
The people that purchased or upgraded to the 3g version of the iPhone will still have a year of contract left when the pre is released. Any time you upgrade your phone, or change your rate plan, your contract is extended. That may not be the case with his current carrier, but that's how they treat the little guys that aren't 39% investors...
And it's about one year after the iPhone 3G and... about the same date the new iPhone is expected to be announced. No-one is standing still here: Apple, Android, RIM (well, almost no one ;-) http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090305/hard-to-stand-behind-wi... )
They are not going to be competing with the two-year old original iPhone, they'll be competing with an (as of yet) still unreleased "new" iPhone.
Unless the Pre´ allows more bare metal language programming, there's a lot of things many other phones will have applications available to do that Palm's entry won't allow people to do, period, so that portion of the market won't even have a reason to consider the Palm phone, and that's outside the reality as others have mentioned before of all the other phones still advancing in hardware and software capacity, all while people are signed up for contracts that are expensive to break out of.
While Palm leverages JavaScript experience and the large pools of developers with their solution, it also distinctly handicaps the phone long-term, unless they plan later on offering native lower level programming that allows more computationally intensive software to exist. Palm has rather limited their market possibilities at this time by going with JavaScript, because the iPhone and Android and many others can do a large superset of the applications that the Pre´ can do, and already have established ecosystems: Palm has an up-mountain battle on their hands.
What do I have to do with this? I'm just reporting on a story that's making its rounds acorss the net, that's all. I have no feelings whatsoever about the iPhone. I'm ambivalent towards it - it's a good phone, but I don't understand why people wet their pants over that thing.
It's just a phone.
Admittedly, the Prē looks good aesthetically, hardware and software-wise. Its OS seems to be a needed improvement over Palm's prior offering, Palm OS -- which in my opinion was showing its age.
I just wonder if it's going to be able to gain enough momentum in the American market against the behemoths that are Apple, Google, RIM, and Windows Mobile-based Smartphones.
I hope this thing comes to Verizon. I'm thinking not likely, unless they give Verizon a cut of every app they sell or something. But Verizon really does need a cutting-edge phone. Windows Mobile is going to need more love from Microsoft (or at least phones with quad-core processors) to be desirable for me. Blackberry, I don't know. I'd want a bigger screen and better browser than most of them have.
Oh well, my NE2 (rebate toward new phone) doesn't kick in until September. I guess I have time to wait.



